Venezuela: From oil power to oil importer

Posted on Saturday, 08.30.14


Andres Oppenheimer: Venezuela: From oil power to oil importer
BY ANDRES OPPENHEIMER
AOPPENHEIMER@MIAMIHERALD.COM

Venezuela's populist government is well-known for its disastrous
economic management, but I would have never imagined that it would lead
Venezuela — which has the world's largest oil reserves — to start
importing oil.

As weird as it seems, President Nicolás Maduro's government plans to
start importing crude oil for the first time in order to blend it with
Venezuela's own crude and keep the country's overall production from
falling further, the Reuters news agency reported last week, citing an
internal document from Venezuela's state-owned PDVSA oil company.

It turns out that Venezuela's own production of light crudes has
plummeted since the late President Hugo Chávez took office in 1999, and
the country desperately needs light crudes to blend with its Orinoco
Basin extra heavy crude oils. Without such a blend, the Orinoco Basin's
extra heavy crude is too dense to be transported through pipelines to
Venezuelan ports and exported abroad.

Venezuela's oil production, which accounts for 95 percent of the
country's export earnings, should be used in world classrooms as a
textbook case of what happens when a populist government starts
distributing a country's wealth in cash subsidies, without investing in
maintenance and innovation. Much like happened with Cuba's once
flourishing sugar industry, Venezuela's Chávez-inspired populism has
destroyed the goose that laid the golden eggs.

In 1999, when Chávez took office, PDVSA had 51,000 employees and
produced 63 barrels of crude a day per employee. Fifteen years later,
PDVSA had 140,000 employees, and produced 20 barrels of crude a day per
employee, according to an Aug. 14 report by the France Press news agency.

Venezuela's net oil exports have plummeted from 3.1 million barrels a
day in 1997 to 1.7 million barrels a day in 2013, according to U.S.
Energy Information Administration estimates.

Curious to find out how a country with the world's largest oil reserves
can end up importing oil, I called Evanán Romero, a former Venezuelan
vice minister of energy and former PDVSA director, who now works as an
oil industry consultant.

Romero told me that the Venezuelan government desperately needs to speed
up oil exports to get cash, because the government is bankrupt.
Inflation has surpassed an annual rate of 60 percent, and Venezuela will
be Latin America's country with the lowest economic growth this year,
according to World Bank estimates.

But to speed up oil exports, Venezuela needs to blend its heavy crudes
from the Orinoco Basin with lighter imported crudes, because Venezuela
is no longer producing enough light crudes of its own. Production of
light crudes has fallen because of lack of investments, abandonment of
exploration of light crude areas, and the nationalization of companies
that used to help produce light crudes.

Venezuela has asked foreign companies that operate in the Orinoco Basin
to invest in "upgrading" facilities that help make heavy-crude
exportable, but the companies did not want to take that risk because
they fear expropriations, or because they don't think it's a good
investment as long as they are only allowed a minority ownership under
government rules.

So, while the government has already been buying refined products to
blend with its heavy crudes, it will now be forced to import light
crudes from Algeria, according to the PDVSA document cited by Reuters.

Why can't Maduro offer a better deal — such as 50-50 ownership — to
foreign oil companies, to encourage them to build upgrading facilities?
I asked Romero.

"Because they are prisoners of their populist-nationalist rhetoric,"
Romero responded, adding that the nationalization of oil resources is at
the heart of Chávez's credo. "They are prisoners of their ideology."

My opinion: What makes the news about Venezuela's plans to import crude
even more astounding is the fact that PDVSA used to be a world model of
a well-managed state-run oil monopoly. I remember that in the early
1990s, when much of Latin America had pro-free market governments that
wanted to privatize everything, I wrote an article citing PDVSA as a
case of a highly efficient state-owned company that defied the
conventional wisdom of the time.

What's even more amazing, Chávez and his successor, Maduro, have
destroyed the country's oil industry despite the fact that they have
benefited from the greatest oil price bonanza in recent history.

World oil prices have risen from $9 a barrel when Chávez took office in
1999, to about $100 a barrel today. And yet, Chávez and Maduro have
managed to destroy Venezuela's oil industry, and the country is about to
start importing crude to keep its exports from falling further.

http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/08/30/4319013/andres-oppenheimer-venezuela-from.html